Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 21.489944 24.398584 27.568982 31.283440 35.519016 40.201828 45.776648
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.156274 20.906118 25.299043 30.833403 37.632178 45.727781 56.123860
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.903388 18.051004 23.234985 30.208551 39.374244 51.051882 67.126373
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 11.688992 16.102533 21.963871 30.350816 42.101545 58.065735 81.547502
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.065986 14.664721 21.132748 30.947353 45.563160 66.680422 99.791389
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.631481 13.254918 20.119345 31.131219 48.509456 75.137910 119.530637
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.716847 12.462642 19.883830 32.443576 53.407099 87.413091 147.595747
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.754973 11.437340 19.125219 32.810847 56.899200 98.149945 175.442485
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.756987 10.187202 17.800290 32.011112 58.306117 105.701041 199.449338
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.007742 9.241437 16.839998 31.682492 60.496750 115.057852 228.787375
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.580412 8.806045 16.718928 32.878606 65.765660 131.141869 274.672771
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.253403 8.505643 16.800550 34.484691 72.158528 150.676625 332.018363
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.818374 7.937577 16.303637 34.915173 76.406927 167.051998 387.281027
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.307496 7.129286 15.189909 33.853429 77.279363 176.465475 429.305728
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.870311 6.405333 14.135930 32.737044 77.840507 185.387017 472.628528
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.565746 5.924029 13.534180 32.553264 80.590192 200.123294 534.547107
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.337800 5.580264 13.188191 32.922382 84.805653 219.457073 613.889197
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.114600 5.210133 12.718772 32.901870 88.049149 237.087168 693.476312
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.983847 5.045480 12.723244 34.112807 94.867606 265.912256 813.779929
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.818559 4.764923 12.388565 34.356240 99.082954 288.509111 921.761475
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.620123 4.363926 11.672950 33.406549 99.673226 300.767737 1000.567391
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.467607 4.061563 11.171343 32.975965 101.739383 318.018917 1101.201187
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.391111 3.958539 11.205381 34.150843 109.081516 353.677113 1276.819869